CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND INFORMATION

CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND INFORMATION

Sunday, March 19, 2023

A TEN-YEAR FIRE INCIDENTS DATA ANALYSIS IN THE CITY OF LAGOS: A RETROSPECTIVE STUDY

 

1Lasisi, Adenike K. and 2*Lasisi, Adedoyin K.

1.     Lagos State Fire and Rescue Service, Lekki Phase 2

2.     Lagos State Ministry of Environment and Water Resources

*Correspondence: ladedoyin@gmail.com Tel.: +234-802-847-6147

 

ABSTRACT

Fire incident/accident is a serious issue in the city of Lagos and its sub-urban areas, and their impacts have enormous implications on safety, lives, and the economy. This study employed the retrospective method of research to carry out analyses of a ten-year trend of fire incidents that occurred in Lagos State. Data was obtained from records and one-on-one interviews were carried out to confirm some of the information from fire officers. According to the findings, the year 2014 has the highest number of fire calls at 2,015 while the year 2012 has the lowest number of fire calls at 188 within the period under review. Interestingly, the year 2014 had the highest number of false calls and rescue calls at 372 and 1,537 respectively. Hence, fire safety starts with the sensitization of citizens, planning, and implementation of basic fire prevention strategies. In view of these, it is suggested that the Lagos State Fire and Rescue Services should carry out continuous fire safety communication, and prevention, implementation of fire safety management plans in communities, and also be involved in the building approval process to enable them to advise appropriately on fire safety devices specific to building type and use. Proper house-to-house inspections should be carried out periodically by fire officers.

Keywords: Households, Livelihoods, Fire, Accident, Fire Accident

INTRODUCTION

Fire is the evident product of the combustion process which is a specific type of chemical reaction (Brown, 2020). It transpires whenever the presence of oxygen in the atmosphere collides with some form of energy or fuel (Biswas & Pal, 2020). The byproducts of the chemical reaction are completely contradictory to the initiating substance (Pauli, 2021). For combustion to take place, the fuel must be heated to its ignition temperature. As long as there is enough heat, fuel, and oxygen, the reaction will continue (Guo et al., 2020). Also, fire is the rapid oxidation of a material in the exothermic chemical process of combustion releasing heat, light, and various reactive products (Pyne, 1982). Fire starts in three main ways which are; accidents (misuse of appliances), deliberate ignition, and equipment failure (electrical malfunction) which produces smoke and toxic gases which could be extremely fatal to those exposed to it. Hence, the need for prevention and protection from spreading fires by for instance delaying the ignition period to allow people more time to escape and for the fire brigade to arrive early at the incident. Fire can make homes unsafe, it can lead to the collapse of houses, loss of property, and even death (Supermedia, 2011). Fire incidences have two main causes: natural and human-caused (Vega, 2021). There are two major causes of human-related incidences: accidental and intentional (Rodrigues & de la Riva, 2020).

Whether in the natural and physical world or when deliberately or incidentally lit, fire has both tremendous destructive and enabling properties (Cabañas & Escabel, 2017). Humans revolutionized the concept of ecosystem fire, modifying the environment to better suit their needs and lifestyle (SEOSAW partnership, 2021). Thus, fire provides humans with numerous benefits and essential convenience (Mazari et al., 2021). Fire yields heat and light which enables humans to acquire sustainability on a daily basis (Nashalian & Chen, 2020). On the contrary, when left unattended, fire can and has resulted in massive destruction, damage, and loss of life (Zou et al., 2020.  This paper presents a summary and the findings of fire events in Lagos over a span of 10 years. It is aimed at helping to look at the main causes of the fire incident and help to come up with recommendations on how to prevent further loss of lives and properties.

 

LITERATURE REVIEW

Lagos sometimes referred to as Lagos State to distinguish it from Lagos Metropolitan Area, is a state located in the southwestern geopolitical zone of Nigeria. The smallest in area of Nigeria’s 36 states, Lagos State is arguably the most economically important state of the country, containing Lagos, the nation’s largest urban area. Lagos State is located in the southwestern part of the Nigerian Federation. On the North and East, it is bounded by Ogun State. In the West, it shares boundaries with the Republic of Benin behind its southern borders lies the Atlantic Ocean. 22% of its 3,577 kmare lagoons and creeks. Lagos State is the smallest state in Nigeria yet, it has the highest urban population, which is 27.4 % of the national estimate [UN-Habitat]. According to the 2006 National Census, Lagos State has a population of 9,013,534 in relation to the National count of 140,003,542. However, based on the UN-Habitat and international development agencies’ estimates, Lagos State is said to have about 24.6 million inhabitants in 2015. Of this population, Metropolitan Lagos accounts for over 85% of an area that is 37% of the land area of the State, and the fact that Lagos population is growing 10 times faster than that of New York and Los Angeles, and more than the population of 32 African nations combined, the State population is expected to hit the 35 million mark in 2020 (www.lagosstate.gov.ng). The location of Lagos on the Nigerian map is shown in figure 1 below;

 

Figure 2: Location of Lagos on Nigerian map

 

METHOD AND MATERIALS

This study employed a retrospective method of research. A retrospective study is a kind of research design where the researcher studies a phenomenon by looking back at events that have already happened and then analyzing data that are already collected. Specifically for this study, data were obtained from Lagos State Fire and Rescue Services and the Lagos State Bureau of Statistics. However, one-on-one interviews were carried out for information purposes and not for data records or verification. The study utilized simple statistical analysis methods such as frequency, mean, median, etc. Frequency refers to the number of times the value occurs in the data. Time series analysis is a specific way of analyzing a sequence of data points collected over an interval of time.

 

 

 

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

This section presents the results and discussions of the study after obtaining data from the Lagos State Fire and Rescue Service and the Lagos State Bureau of Statistics.   

TABLE 1: TOTAL NUMBER OF RECORDED FIRE INCIDENTS IN LAGOS WITHIN A TEN-YEAR SPAN

YEAR

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

FIRE CALLS

188

417

2,015

1,117

988

1,273

959

700

550

900

1,130

RESCUE CALLS

14

70

1,537

1,009

552

260

205

140

500

365

93

FALSE CALLS

16

14

372

90

10

105

30

75

100

30

30

 

Figure 2: Occurrence of fire incidents for Ten year period in Lagos State. 

 

TABLE 2: ECONOMIC INDICES OF FIRE INCIDENTS IN LAGOS STATE 2012 - 2022

Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

Properties Saved

69.0

14.6

1.65

60.4

99.22

99.5

80

11.1

6.2

28

90

Properties Loss

39.6

116.3

19.44

10.9

16.62

16.5

30

2.5

12

23

15

·       Estimates are in Billion (Naira)

Figure 3: Economic Indices of Fire incidents in Lagos State 2012 to 2022.

      In Lagos State and Nigeria generally, the provision of the Fire Services Laws and Regulations is that every home is expected to have basic firefighting devices. However, studies and information available from practitioners in the field of fire safety and management revealed that the reverse is the case. In Nigeria where the energy supply for domestic consumption is erratic, electrical fire is normally a source of fire incidents.   According to Nigeria Federal Fire Services, electrical sparks were the leading cause of fire outbreaks in Nigeria in the year 2021. It was also revealed that public assets worth N3 trillion were lost to about 2,835 fire incidents while about 136 people died from major fire incidents in two states alone.

     For Lagos the most populated State in Nigeria, fire occurrence is also associated with death. An average of Ten (10) deaths per year is recorded in the State in the last ten years.  Table 1 shows the occurrence of fire incidents in Lagos in a ten-year period. Based on the result of table 1 above, the year 2014 has the highest number of fire calls (2,015) while the year 2012 has the lowest number of fire calls (188) within the period under review. Interestingly, the year 2014 had the highest number of false calls and rescue calls at 372 and 1,537 respectively.   One of the major consequences of fire is the loss of lives and properties. Analysis of economic loss from fire incident from 2012 to 2022 shows a total of 301.86 billion Naira was lost to fire incidents in the State, while the fire rescue team were able to save properties worth 559.67 billion Naira. The highest property loss was recorded in the year 2013 (116.3 billion Naira) and the year 2019 had the smallest (2.5 billion Naira) property loss at 2.5 billion Naira

      Data on the frequency and percentage distribution of causes of a fire incident in the State could not be analyzed because of the insufficient data sets of the causes. However, one-on-one interview with fire safety professionals attributes the most common cause of the fire to an electrical short circuit. Also, human error such as mishandling of special and hazardous chemicals alongside carelessness are the remaining leading causes of fire. Whilst analyzing the data obtained from the record log and interviews carried out, it was observed that the majority of fire incidences occur during the dry season. Also, 53.3% occurred during evening hours while 13% occurred during the night and 33.3 % incidences occurred during day hours.

The functionality and presence of in-house firefighting devices always help in the reduction of fire spread and also reduce the intensity of the fire. However, information revealed that 60% of fire incidents attended to in Lagos does not have functional firefighting extinguishers or devices at the locations whilst water and other firefighting means were used, most residents lack basic firefighting techniques. 

 

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS

Fire incidence is a big problem for every city government, most especially in developing countries where available resources are inadequate for disaster management. The two most detrimental effects of fire incidence are economic loss and loss of life. To mitigate these losses, proper planning and implementation of control measures must be done. An essential aspect of planning and control measures is the prediction of possible fire incidences. This study is conducted to analyze the historical data of fire incidences in Lagos State with the aim of helping to forecast future means of preventing fire incidents and proffer solutions. Results of the analyses show that fire incidence occurs mostly during the dry seasons and is often frequent in the evening hours. Also, electrical sparks are the most common cause of fire incidents in Lagos State. Furthermore, the absence of fire incident causes and mode of pre-fire services action are some of the most data gaps noticed during the study.

Therefore, it is recommended that government agencies responsible for the management of fire incidences should:

        i.            observe the patterns and frequency of fire occurrences and make fire prevention countermeasures as soon as possible to reduce economic loss and human casualties;

      ii.            Lagos State Fire Services should be involved in building approvals for numerous reasons such as ensuring the proposed building has adequate countermeasure mechanisms for fire prevention and fighting;

    iii.            Although fire incidents occur mostly during dry seasons, they do not drop significantly during the wet season. For this reason, fire prevention programs should not only be intensified or campaigned during the dry seasons. There should be an intensification of fire campaigns all year round.

     iv.            A higher incidence of fire occurs in mixed-used areas with high population densities. These areas are mostly congested without proper planning and adequate evacuation systems. Proper city planning action should be fully adhered to.

       v.            The number of electrical fire incidents in its origin leads to the conclusion that many residents in Lagos do not observe caution when handling electrical equipment.

     vi.            The Fire department should set up a proper fire investigation unit to enable the State to have real causes of fire incidents for proper planning;

   vii.            It is imperative that the Fire Services personnel in the State should conduct more frequent fire inspections in residential premises.    

 

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The authors gratefully acknowledge the substantial contributions of the management and staff of Lagos State Fire Services, Lagos State Emergency Management Agency, and Lagos State Bureau of Statistics. Finally, the efforts of the numerous fire officers who provided data for this study are gratefully acknowledged.

 

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